DTN Midday Grain Comments 12/07 12:11

DTN Midday Grain Comments     12/07 12:11

   Corn, Soybean Futures Lower Midday Tuesday

   Corn trade is 2 to 3 cents lower, beans are 10 to 16 cents lower and wheat 
is 2 cents lower to 1 cents higher.

David M. Fiala
DTN Contributing Analyst


   The U.S. stock market is firmer with the Dow up 540 points. The U.S. Dollar 
Index is 0.15 higher. Interest rate products are lower. Energies are sharply 
higher with crude up $3.10. Livestock trade is mostly lower. Precious metals 
are firmer with gold up $3.50.


   Corn trade is 2 to 3 cents lower Tuesday with range-bound action continuing 
and fresh news lacking to drive the market in either direction. Ethanol margins 
should remain in the current range until after Christmas driving season. Basis 
should remain steady to firmer short term with fall field work on the 
homestretch. On the March contract, we have support at the 20-day moving 
average at $5.80, which we are testing at midday, then the upper Bollinger Band 
at $5.93 as further resistance.


   Soybean trade is 10 to 16 cents lower at midday with front month weakness 
and trade looking for more demand indicators, as well as further crop progress 
in South America with another 123,000 metric tons announced to unknown. Meal is 
$3.50 to $4.50 lower and oil is 0.50 cent to 0.60 cent lower. South America 
looks to continue short-term progress with issues remaining limited for now 
with short-term dryness expected in the southern growing areas for the balance 
of the week. Crush margins remain solid but further product weakness would 
limit enthusiasm. Basis remains mostly flat near term. On the January soybean 
chart, we slipped back below the 20-day at $12.49 Tuesday morning, with further 
support the lower Bollinger Band at $12.09.


   Wheat trade is 2 cents lower to 1 cent higher at midday with spring wheat 
retaking the lead as trade works along the lower end range. The dollar is just 
above 96 points, continuing in the upper end of the range with calmer trade. 
Weather in the Plains looks little changed short term with longer-term dry 
concerns for the Southern Plains heading towards dormancy, and mixed forecasts 
in Australia short term as harvest expands with various Black Sea area 
concerns. Spring wheat is firmer versus Chicago moving the premium to 2.26 
cents on the March, with KC at a 20-cent premium in firmer action so far. KC 
March chart resistance is at the 20-day at $8.37 with the recent low at $8.15 
as the first level of support.

   David Fiala can be reached at 

   Follow him on Twitter @davidfiala

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